Match Info

I Liqa - Round 1

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday


	Baku Sporting		Karvan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.25	Watch
	2.82	3.22	2.24
	2.88	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	2.96	2.96	2.47
	3.05	2.95	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.42)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.26 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baku Sporting
31.2%

Draw
29%

Karvan
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.

Karvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karvan's recent form is better than expected.

Baku Sporting - Karvan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Abdullayev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Ceferli R. ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, Sillas E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Karvan	3	2	0	1	6:2	4	6
10	Baku Sporting	3	0	0	3	0:7	-7	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baku Sporting
Azerbaijan First Division
22.05.26	Shahdag Qusar - Baku Sporting	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Baku Sporting - Zagatala	3:0 ✺
07.05.26	Cəbrayıl - Baku Sporting	2:3 ✺
30.04.26	Baku Sporting - Difai Ağsu	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Shimal - Baku Sporting	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWTL
- Karvan FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
24.05.26	İmişli - Karvan	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Karvan - Gabala	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Turan Tovuz - Karvan	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Karvan - Neftchi Baku	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Sabah - Karvan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan First Division
27.03.25	Karvan - Baku Sporting	1:1
24.12.24	Baku Sporting - Karvan	0:2
26.09.24	Karvan - Baku Sporting	3:1

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