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Current Win Probability
Columbus Crew 41.6%
Draw 26.1%
New England Revolution 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
24.9%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
24.9%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbus Crew's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
7.1%
28.6%
Columbus Crew - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). New England will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0, 1st Half - New England (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%). New England (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 3. Bailly E. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 23. Farsi M. 50. Karumanchi T. 20. Gomes A. 16. Habroune T. 77. Martinez J. 10. Mendez B.
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 21. Raines B. 10. Gil C. (C) 80. Yusuf A. 11. Harrison J. 99. Turgeman D. 25. Miller P.
Substitutes
24. Bush E. (G) 7. Chambost D. 26. Giaccone L. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 11. Lennon B. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 33. Tapia G.
15. Baker C. 4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 12. Feingold I. 73. Gunn J. (G) 27. Harris W. 65. Siqueira J. 7. Yow G. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Courtois L.
Mitrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Mendez B. ⚽, Farsi M. (A),
25', Karumanchi T. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Polster M. ⚽, Fofana M. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Turgeman D. ⚽, Gil C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Karumanchi T. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
62', Martinez J. ↓, Tapia G. ↑,
78', Yusuf A. 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Gil C. ⚽, Miller P. (A),
87', Turgeman D. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
89', Harrison J. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
90', Mendez B. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
90', Bailly E. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
90', Gomes A. ↓, Chambost D. ↑,
90+4', Gil C. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
90+4', Yusuf A. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
Columbus has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
New England has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Columbus might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
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Schulte P. (G) 
Moreira S. 
Bailly E. 
Amundsen M. 
Farsi M. 
Gomes A. 
Martinez J. 
Mendez B. 
Fofana M. 
Yusuf A. 
Harrison J. 
Turgeman D. 
Chambost D. 
Giaccone L. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Tapia G. 
Fagundez D. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Mitrovic M. 
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