Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	DUX Internacional de Madrid		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.9
	2.55	2.95	2.75
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.56	2.86	3.24
	2.82	2.39	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)	2.77 ↓ (2.9)	3.04 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DUX Internacional de Madrid
36.4%

Draw
33.3%

Real Madrid Castilla
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

22%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DUX Internacional de Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DUX Internacional de Madrid than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DUX Internacional de Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

DUX Internacional de Madrid - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Promotion Group)).

DUX Internacional in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Madrid Castilla is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Madrid Castilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches DUX Internacional won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams DUX Internacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DUX Internacional de Madrid
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.02.21	Rayo Majadahonda - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Getafe B	2:2 ✺
10.02.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Las Rozas - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:3 ✺
03.02.21	Poblense - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWWW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Poblense	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
10.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.12.20	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.19	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:2
03.03.19	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
13.10.18	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	1:1

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