Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Atlético Baleares		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	4	2.88	1.95	Watch
	3.6	2.95	1.98
	3.75	3.2	2
	3.85	3.25	2.08
	3.63	3.25	2.08
	3.71	3.1	2.06
	3.8	3	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Baleares
24.5%

Draw
29.8%

Real Madrid Castilla
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

30%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

29.9%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 2. Campabadal E. 14. Navarro D. 5. Jaume J. 4. Zalaya A. 15. Juanra 18. Azeez M. 6. Villapalos A. (C) 17. Alarcon R. 16. Rodriguez D. 10. Pastrana V.	1. Canizares L. (G) 19. Lorenzo 4. Carrillo A. 5. Marvel 39. Cuenca D. 20. Angel M. 6. Martin M. 17. Garcia G. 10. Paz N. 22. Palacios C. 9. Rodriguez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Angel M. 🟨,
32', Alarcon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alarcon R. ↓, Rochina R. ↑,
66', Campabadal E. 🟨,
69', Palacios C. 🟨,
71', Angel M. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
71', Palacios C. ↓, Zidane T. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Villapalos A. (Own goal),
77', Azeez M. ↓, Ferroni L. ↑,
89', Rodriguez A. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
89', Paz N. ↓, Obrador R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1.

Atlético Baleares has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Baleares could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Baleares won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.03.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Baleares	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Baleares - San Fernando	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Córdoba - Atlético Baleares	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mérida AD - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Castellón	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Melilla - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	5:0
24.04.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1
03.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
25.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.11.19	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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