Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Poblense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.8	3	4.8
	1.79	3.1	4.4
	1.83	3.3	4.86
	1.82	3.15	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	3.17 ↓ (3.38)	4.74 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
51.7%

Draw
28.9%

Poblense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

21.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 7 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poblense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poblense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.02.21	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
10.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
07.02.21	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Getafe B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- UD Poblense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.02.21	Poblense - Rayo Majadahonda	2:3 ✺
07.02.21	Getafe B - Poblense	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Poblense - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:3 ✺
31.01.21	Poblense - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Poblense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Poblense - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2

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