Match Info

K League 1 - Round 22

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday

Location: DGB Daegu Bank Park (Daegu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Daegu		Gimcheon Sangmu

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.93	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	4.01	3.93	1.88
	2.22	3.16	3.31	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.91
	3.87	3.78	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	2.09 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daegu
27.2%

Draw
26.6%

Gimcheon Sangmu
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

26%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimcheon Sangmu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	26.7%	53.3%

Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Gimcheon Sangmu (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Oh Seung-Hoon (G) 55. Woo Ju-Seong 6. Hong Jung-Woon 4. Caio Marcelo 22. Jang Sung-won 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 88. Carlos Jatoba 3. Jeong Woo-Jae 30. Han Jong-Mu 11. Cesinha (C) 77. Kim Ju-Gong	23. Lee Ju-Hyun (G) 13. Oh In-Pyo 5. Kim Kang-San 35. Lee G. 34. Park Cheol-Woo 11. Lee Dong-Jun 8. Lee Seung-Won 28. Maeng Seong-Ung 7. Kim Seung-Sub (C) 14. Lee Dong-Gyeong 19. Park Sang-Hyeok
Substitutes
10. Bruno Lamas 1. Choi Young-Eun (G) 9. Edgar 32. Jeong Chi-In 66. Jo Jin-Woo 45. Kim Hyeon-jun 15. Lee Won-Woo 74. Lee Yong-Rae 5. Reis G.	40. Jeon Byung-Kwan 15. Kim Chan 21. Kim Tae-Hoon (G) 36. Kim Tae-Hwan 38. Lee Chan-Wook 2. Lee Hyun-Sik 33. Park Dae-Won 43. Park Se-Jin 18. Won Ki-Jong
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Chung Jung-Yong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', Caio Marcelo 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Cesinha ⚽, Jang Sung-won (A),
22', 2 - 0, Kim Ju-Gong ⚽, Han Jong-Mu (A),
36', 2 - 1, Park Sang-Hyeok ⚽, Lee Dong-Jun (A),
45+6', Hong Jung-Woon ↓, Jo Jin-Woo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lee Dong-Jun ↓, Jeon Byung-Kwan ↑,
46', Han Jong-Mu ↓, Edgar ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Kim Kang-San ⚽, Oh In-Pyo (A),
64', Oh In-Pyo ↓, Park Dae-Won ↑,
65', Lee Seung-Won 🟨,
72', Lee Seung-Won ↓, Lee Hyun-Sik ↑,
72', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
80', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Lee Yong-Rae ↑,
80', Jeong Woo-Jae ↓, Lee Won-Woo ↑,
87', Park Cheol-Woo 🟨,
87', Carlos Jatoba ↓, Bruno Lamas ↑,
87', Kim Seung-Sub ↓, Park Se-Jin ↑,
90+1', Woo Ju-Seong 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Won Ki-Jong ⚽, Jeon Byung-Kwan (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 1.

Daegu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gimcheon Sangmu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Daegu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimcheon Sangmu has had a series of home games.

Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
12.07.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Daegu - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
21.06.25	Gangwon - Daegu	3:0 ✺
17.06.25	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Jeju - Daegu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTL
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
27.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Anyang	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Daejeon Citizen - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.04.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	2:0
16.08.24	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	3:0
29.06.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	2:0
03.03.24	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:1
16.10.22	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1
28.08.22	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0
14.05.22	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daegu	1:1

Upcoming Matches