Match Info

K League 1 - Round 24

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: DGB Daegu Bank Park (Daegu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Daegu		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.85
	3.99	3.89	1.89
	3.65	3.38	2.00	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.88	3.72	1.9	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.75)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daegu
25.4%

Draw
26.1%

Pohang Steelers
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daegu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daegu's form might have worsened.

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pohang Steelers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daegu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pohang Steelers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	16.7%	55.6%

Daegu - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Pohang will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pohang: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Daegu (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pohang (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Pohang (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Daegu (votes: 2 - 25%). Pohang (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Oh Seung-Hoon (G) 55. Woo Ju-Seong 7. Kim Jin-Hyeok 66. Jo Jin-Woo 3. Jeong Woo-Jae 38. Lee Rim 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 10. Bruno Lamas 32. Jeong Chi-In 77. Kim Ju-Gong 11. Cesinha (C)	21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 3. Lee Dong-Hee 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 14. Park Seung-Wook 13. Kang Min-Jun 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 8. Oberdan 2. Eo Jeong-Won 37. Hong Yun-Sang 99. Cho Sang-Hyeok 9. Jorge Teixeira
Substitutes
1. Choi Young-Eun (G) 9. Edgar 2. Hwang Jae-Won 22. Jang Sung-won 47. Jeong Hyeon-Cheol 18. Jeong Jae-sang 26. Lee Jin-Yong 74. Lee Yong-Rae 5. Reis G.	20. An J. 5. Aspropotamitis J. 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 7. Kim In-Sung 66. Lee Chang-Woo 19. Lee Ho-Jae 26. Lee Tae-Seok 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 1. Yun Pyeong-Gook (G)
Coaches
Kim Byung-Soo	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cho Sang-Hyeok ↓, Lee Ho-Jae ↑,
46', Lee Rim ↓, Hwang Jae-Won ↑,
67', Kim Jin-Hyeok 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Lee Ho-Jae (Pen),
80', Jeong Chi-In ↓, Lee Yong-Rae ↑,
80', Kim Jung-Hyeon ↓, Edgar ↑,
85', Lee Ho-Jae 🟨,
88', Kang Min-Jun ↓, Shin Kwang-Hoon ↑,
88', Eo Jeong-Won ↓, Lee Tae-Seok ↑,
89', Jorge Teixeira ↓, Kim In-Sung ↑,
90', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Jeong Jae-sang ↑,
90+2', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, Lee Chang-Woo ↑,
90+6', Jo Jin-Woo 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 1.

Daegu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pohang's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pohang is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Daegu - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.57%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.09%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daegu FC
South Korean K-League 1
22.07.25	Anyang - Daegu	4:0 ✺
18.07.25	Daegu - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Ulsan HD - Daegu	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
02.07.25	Daegu - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
21.06.25	Gangwon - Daegu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLL
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
22.07.25	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:5 ✺
19.07.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:3 ✺
29.06.25	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	4:1 ✺
21.06.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
17.06.25	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	1:1
01.03.25	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	0:0
24.08.24	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	1:2
06.07.24	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	3:3
09.03.24	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	3:1
25.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	1:0
24.09.23	Daegu - Pohang Steelers	0:0

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