Match Info

K League 1 - Round 1

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Gimcheon Stadium (Gimcheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports


	Gimcheon Sangmu		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.65
	2.68	3.1	2.52
	2.91	3.25	2.66
	2.74	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.79	3.06	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.51)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimcheon Sangmu
34.3%

Draw
29.4%

Pohang Steelers
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimcheon Sangmu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Pohang will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimcheon Sangmu: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Gimcheon Sangmu (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimcheon Sangmu (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baek Jong-beom (G) 11. Kim Tae-Hwan 5. Kim Min-Kyu 26. Lee Jung-Taek (C) 3. Park Cheol-Woo 7. Go Jae-Hyeon 6. Lee Soo-Bin 55. Park T. 17. Kim Joo-Chan 14. Park Se-Jin 9. Lee G.	21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 13. Kang Min-Jun 4. Jeon Min-kwang (C) 20. An J. 2. Eo Jeong-Won 31. Nishiya K. 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 11. da Rocha Junior J. 19. Lee Ho-Jae 12. Hwang J.
Substitutes
48. Hong Yun-Sang 49. Kang M. 4. Kim Hyun-Woo 21. Kim In-Gyun 8. Kim Yi-Seok 20. Lee Chan-Wook 47. Lee Sang-Heon 2. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 37. Moon Hyeon-Ho (G)	34. Baek Seung-Won 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 29. Hong Sung-min (G) 5. Jin Si-woo 16. Kim Dong-Jin 30. Kim Yong-Hak 26. Park Chan-Yong 14. Son Seung-Beom 10. Tranziska J.
Coaches
Joo S.	Park Tae-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Go Jae-Hyeon ⚽, Lee G. (A),
22', Hwang J. 🟨,
29', Go Jae-Hyeon 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hwang J. ↓, Tranziska J. ↑,
46', Ki Sung-Yueng ↓, Lee Chang-Woo ↑,
54', Nishiya K. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Tranziska J. ⚽, da Rocha Junior J. (A),
60', Park Se-Jin ↓, Lee Sang-Heon ↑,
60', Kim Joo-Chan ↓, Hong Yun-Sang ↑,
63', Jeon Min-kwang 🟨,
67', Nishiya K. ↓, Kim Dong-Jin ↑,
69', Park Chan-Yong 🟥,
71', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Jin Si-woo ↑,
83', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
83', Lee G. ↓, Kang M. ↑,
83', Go Jae-Hyeon ↓, Kim In-Gyun ↑,
89', Lee Soo-Bin ↓, Kim Yi-Seok ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 4.

Gimcheon Sangmu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimcheon Sangmu won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimcheon Sangmu won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40
10	Gimcheon Sangmu ✔	31	5	18	8	30:37	-7	33

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.85%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimcheon Sangmu FC
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	FC Seoul - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Gangwon	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLW
- Pohang Steelers
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
11.12.25	Kaya - Pohang Steelers	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
27.11.25	Pohang Steelers - Pathum United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
01.11.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	0:1
27.09.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	2:0
14.06.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	1:0
02.05.25	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:2
10.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3
28.07.24	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:2
01.06.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Pohang Steelers	3:1

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