Match Info

K League 1 - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports, IB Sports


	Pohang Steelers		Jeju

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.5	Watch
				Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.55
	1.83	3.53	5.03
	1.82	3.38	4.6	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.6
	1.8	3.32	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	3.33 ↑ (3.21)	4.68 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
52%

Draw
28%

Jeju
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

29.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.6%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Pohang Steelers - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 20. Park Chan-Yong (C) 24. Han Hyeon-Seo 2. Eo Jeong-Won 31. Nishiya K. 8. Kim Seung-Ho 11. da Rocha Junior J. 70. Hwang Seo-Woong 25. Jorge Teixeira 19. Lee Ho-Jae	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 41. Kim Jae-Woo 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Celestine J. 40. Kim Ryun-sung (C) 17. Yu In-Soo 5. Italo 20. Jang M. 94. Emerson Negueba 27. Kim Jun-ha 11. Shin Sang-Eun
Substitutes
4. Jeon Min-kwang 37. Jung Han-Min 16. Kim Dong-Jin 3. Kim Ye-Sung 30. Kim Yong-Hak 40. Ki Sung-Yueng 10. Tranziska J. 77. Wanderson 1. Yun Pyeong-Guk (G)	21. An Chan-Gi (G) 24. Choi Byung-wook 88. Jo In-jung 28. Kim Geon-Ung 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 8. Lee Chang-Min 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 7. Park Chang-Jun 9. Paulauskas G.
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Jang M. ⚽, Kim Jun-ha (A),
27', 0 - 2, Shin Sang-Eun ⚽, Celestine J. (A),
29', Park Chan-Yong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jorge Teixeira ↓, Ki Sung-Yueng ↑,
46', Nishiya K. ↓, Jung Han-Min ↑,
46', Kim Seung-Ho ↓, Kim Ye-Sung ↑,
53', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
60', Celestine J. 🟨,
66', da Rocha Junior J. ↓, Kim Yong-Hak ↑,
69', Kim Jun-ha ↓, Kwon Chang-Hoon ↑,
76', Hwang Seo-Woong ↓, Wanderson ↑,
76', Kim Yong-Hak 🟨,
83', Kim Jae-Woo 🟨,
86', Emerson Negueba ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 3.

Recent performances by Pohang have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jeju has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pohang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pohang has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pohang is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pohang won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pohang won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
9	Pohang	31	11	7	13	28:37	-9	40

Last Results with these Odds

Pohang Steelers - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.69%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Jeju - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 23.19%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
04.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Daejeon Citizen	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Gangwon	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Bucheon	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Pohang Steelers - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pohang Steelers - Incheon United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLT
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
04.04.26	Jeju - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Gangwon - Jeju	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Jeju - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
21.09.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	1:0
21.06.25	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	2:1
20.04.25	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:0
South Korean Cup
28.08.24	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	2:1
21.08.24	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:2
South Korean K-League 1
13.07.24	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	2:1
12.05.24	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	1:1

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