The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daegu 54.5%
Draw 25.9%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.1%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
27.5%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daegu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daegu's performance.
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daegu than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daegu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Daegu will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Daegu: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Han Tae-Hui (G) 20. Kim Kang-San (C) 50. Kim Hyeong-Jin 26. Hwang In-Taek 2. Hwang Jae-Won 25. Kim Dae-Woo 29. Ryu Jae-Moon 72. Choi Kang-Min 21. Son Seung-min 77. Kim Ju-Gong 99. Park In-Hyeok
28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin (C) 10. Villero P. 18. Kim Min-jae 16. Ryu Jun-sun
Substitutes
16. Dackers M. 1. Go Dong-Min (G) 30. Han Jong-Mu 22. Jang Sung-won 66. Lee Rim 15. Lee Won-Woo 10. Matheus Serafim 34. Park Gi-Hyun 7. Reis G.
2. Hwang Seok-Ki 36. Lee Jae-Wook 11. Lee Jun-Sang 1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 5. Yu Sun
Coaches
Choi S.
Jeon Kyung-jun
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Choi Kang-Min 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Venicio ⚽, Ryu Jun-sun (A),
25', 1 - 1, Kim Ju-Gong (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Son Seung-min ↓, Matheus Serafim ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Lee Jeong-Bin ⚽, Villero P. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Ryu Jae-Moon ⚽, Choi Kang-Min (A),
60', Park In-Hyeok ↓, Park Gi-Hyun ↑,
63', Kim Min-jae ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
64', You Ju-An ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
70', Kim Ju-Gong ↓, Reis G. ↑,
70', Ryu Jae-Moon ↓, Han Jong-Mu ↑,
76', Elionay 🟥,
79', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Lee Jae-Wook ↑,
79', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Hwang Seok-Ki ↑,
85', Hwang Jae-Won 🟨,
86', Hwang Jae-Won ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Reis G. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 2.
Daegu has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Seongnam has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Daegu is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daegu won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Daegu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Daegu
26
13
7
6
48:35
13
46
10
Seongnam
25
7
10
8
28:30
-2
31
Last Results with these Odds
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.93%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.