Match Info

K League 2 - Round 15

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	19:30	Coupang Play
International	10:30	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.40	4.50	Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.63	3.45	4.90
	1.87	3.46	4.61
	1.82	3.39	4.55	Watch
	1.85	3.10	4.00
	1.84	3.39	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.34 ↓ (3.66)	4.4 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
51.5%

Draw
27.6%

Gimhae
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

25.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae Predictions

Users Predictions: Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio (C) 22. Jung Seung-Yong 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 14. Elionay 16. Ryu Jun-sun 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 10. Villero P.	91. Choe Pil-Soo (C) 5. Yeo J. 97. Lee Rae-Jun 6. Choi Jun-Yeong 14. Pyo Geon-Hee 23. Sung Ho-Yeung 27. Lee Jun-Gyu 8. Moon S. 17. Lee Y. 99. Fall M. 7. Lee Seung-Jae
Substitutes
7. Hong Chang-Beom 13. Hong S. 18. Kim Min-jae 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 36. Lee Jae-Wook 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 17. Park Byeong-gyu 5. Yu Sun	10. Bruno Costa 4. Cha Jun-Young 25. Han Jun-Sung (G) 2. Kang J. 11. Lee Kang-Uk 98. Miguel Baggio 22. Park Sang-Jun 30. Seol H. 77. Yun B.
Coaches
Jeon Kyung-jun	Son Hyun-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Lee Y. 🟨,
33', Lee Y. ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Fall M. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Bruno Costa (Penalty Awarded),
61', Bruno Costa 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti (Penalty Awarded),
64', Yang Tae-yang ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
64', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kim Min-jae ↑,
64', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
70', Lee Jun-Gyu ↓, Cha Jun-Young ↑,
80', Lee Rae-Jun ↓, Miguel Baggio ↑,
83', Sung Ho-Yeung ↓, Lee Kang-Uk ↑,
88', Choi Jun-Yeong 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation)).

Seongnam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gimhae is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Seongnam is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Seongnam	28	7	10	11	30:37	-7	31
17	Gimhae	28	3	8	17	24:57	-33	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
30.05.26	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Yongin - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTW
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K-League 2
30.05.26	Gimhae - Gimpo	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimhae - Daegu	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongnam - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLL

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