Match Info
K League 2 - Round 15Date: 5 June 2026, FridayLocation: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 World | K League TV |
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Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma |
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Gimhae |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
51.5% | Draw
27.6% | Gimhae
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
28.  Joung Myung-jae (G)
23. You Ju-An
20. Lee Sang-Min
4.  Venicio (C)
22. Jung Seung-Yong
9. Rodrigo Angelotti
14. Elionay
16. Ryu Jun-sun
19. Yang Tae-yang
32. Yun Min-Ho
10.  Villero P.
| 91. Choe Pil-Soo (C)
5. Yeo J.
97. Lee Rae-Jun
6. Choi Jun-Yeong
14. Pyo Geon-Hee
23. Sung Ho-Yeung
27. Lee Jun-Gyu
8. Moon S.
17. Lee Y.
99.  Fall M.
7. Lee Seung-Jae
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| Substitutes |
7. Hong Chang-Beom
13. Hong S.
18. Kim Min-jae
27. Kwon Byeong-jun
36. Lee Jae-Wook
8. Lee Jeong-Bin
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G)
17. Park Byeong-gyu
5. Yu Sun
| 10.  Bruno Costa
4. Cha Jun-Young
25. Han Jun-Sung (G)
2. Kang J.
11. Lee Kang-Uk
98. Miguel Baggio
22. Park Sang-Jun
30. Seol H.
77. Yun B.
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| Coaches |
Jeon Kyung-jun
| Son Hyun-jun
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Lee Y. 🟨,
- 33', Lee Y. ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Fall M. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 1, Bruno Costa (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Bruno Costa 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Yang Tae-yang ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
- 64', Yun Min-Ho ↓, Kim Min-jae ↑,
- 64', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
- 70', Lee Jun-Gyu ↓, Cha Jun-Young ↑,
- 80', Lee Rae-Jun ↓, Miguel Baggio ↑,
- 83', Sung Ho-Yeung ↓, Lee Kang-Uk ↑,
- 88', Choi Jun-Yeong 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone K League 2 (Relegation)).Seongnam has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Gimhae is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Seongnam is seen as the favorite. Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Seongnam | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
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| 17 | Gimhae | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11:30 | -19 | 6 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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