Match Info

K League 2 - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.35
	1.79	3.43	4.88
	1.77	3.51	4.55	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.76	3.3	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)	3.27 ↓ (3.49)	4.44 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
51.3%

Draw
28%

Gyeongnam
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

26%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Gyeongnam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Gyeongnam will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seongnam: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 52. Fujimori R. 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 22. Jung Seung-Yong 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 14. Elionay 33. Park Su-bin (C) 19. Yang Tae-yang 32. Yun Min-Ho 8. Lee Jeong-Bin	25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 39. Lucao 26. Choi Jung-Won 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 27. Son Ho-Jun 8. Lee Chan-Dong 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 18. Kim Seon-Ho 66. Cho Sang-Jun 9. Darnlei 90. Kim Hyeon-oh
Substitutes
13. Hong S. 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 18. Kim Min-jae 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 36. Lee Jae-Wook 17. Park Byeong-gyu 16. Ryu Jun-sun 10. Villero P. 5. Yu Sun	4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 3. Cho Woo-young 77. Kim Ha-min 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 99. Lee Jung-Min 10. Mbah C. 1. Shin Jun-Seo (G) 24. Yun Il-Lok
Coaches
Jeon Kyung-jun	Bae Sung-jae .

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Lee Chan-Dong 🟨,
36', Lee Jeong-Bin 🟨,
41', Venicio 🟨,
45+1', Kim Hyeong-Won 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hwang Seok-Ki ↓, Villero P. ↑,
55', Son Ho-Jun 🟨,
57', Lee Chan-Dong ↓, Cho Woo-young ↑,
64', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Kim Ha-min ↑,
64', Kim Hyeong-Won ↓, Choi Seong-Jin ↑,
74', Yang Tae-yang ↓, Yu Sun ↑,
74', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Ryu Jun-sun ↑,
78', Venicio ↓, Lee Jae-Wook ↑,
82', Fujimori R. ↓, Kwon Byeong-jun ↑,
86', Kim Seon-Ho 🟨,
87', Kim Hyeon-oh ↓, Lee Jung-Min ↑,
87', Cho Sang-Jun ↓, Yun Il-Lok ↑,
90+8', 0 - 1, Choi Jung-Won ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 1, Park Byeong-gyu ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Seongnam is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeonnam Dragons	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Yongin - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTLL
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Gyeongnam - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Daegu - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
19.10.25	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
23.08.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	2:1
12.04.25	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1
27.10.24	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	5:1
08.07.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:4
12.05.24	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2
26.08.23	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:2

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