Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday


	Daejeon Korail		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.38	3.05	2.75
	2.57	3.04	2.94
	2.49	3	2.79
	2.4	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.76)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	2.81 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
37.7%

Draw
29.9%

Cheonan City
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Daejeon Korail - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Daejeon Korail will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cheonan City: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daejeon Korail won 3.

Recent matches Daejeon Korail is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cheonan City is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Daejeon Korail won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Daejeon Korail won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
18.09.22	Siheung - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
02.09.22	Daejeon Korail - Busan Kyotong	0:3 ✺
28.08.22	Mokpo City - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
19.08.22	Daejeon Korail - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWWL
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K3 League
18.09.22	Paju Frontier - Cheonan City	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Siheung - Cheonan City	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Cheonan City - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:0 ✺
17.08.22	Cheongju - Cheonan City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.05.22	Cheonan City - Daejeon Korail	1:2
03.09.21	Cheonan City - Daejeon Korail	2:3
30.04.21	Daejeon Korail - Cheonan City	1:1
South Korean National League
19.10.19	Cheonan City - Daejeon Korail	2:1
23.08.19	Daejeon Korail - Cheonan City	3:2
06.07.19	Cheonan City - Daejeon Korail	1:0
13.04.19	Daejeon Korail - Cheonan City	1:1

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