Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Cheonan City		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
	1.42	4	6.25	Watch
	1.39	4.20	6.50
	1.41	4.35	6.7
	1.46	4.35	6.76
	1.45	4.33	6.67	Watch
	1.44	4.15	6.25
	1.37	4.1	7.8	Watch
	1.42	4.4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.3)	4.24 ↓ (4.83)	6.72 ↓ (7.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheonan City
64.7%

Draw
21.7%

Mokpo City
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

18.7%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

17.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cheonan City - Mokpo City Predictions

Users Predictions: Cheonan City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 1.

Recent form of Cheonan City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mokpo City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mokpo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cheonan City is the clear favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
10.07.26	Cheonan City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Cheonan City - Suwon	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Ansan Greeners - Cheonan City	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ulsan Citizen - Mokpo City	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Changwon City - Mokpo City	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Siheung - Mokpo City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.08.22	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:0
22.04.22	Mokpo City - Cheonan City	0:0
21.08.21	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	0:0
17.04.21	Mokpo City - Cheonan City	2:1
South Korean National League
26.07.19	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	2:2
South Korean Cup
17.04.19	Cheonan City - Mokpo City	1:0
South Korean National League
31.08.18	Mokpo City - Cheonan City	0:1

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