Match Info

K3 League - Round 18

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)


	Daejeon Korail		Gimhae

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.9
	3.45	3.35	1.92	Watch
	3.75	3.52	2
	3.57	3.49	1.90	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.77	3.34	1.87
	2.75	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.75)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	2.01 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Korail
26.5%

Draw
27.8%

Gimhae
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Korail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daejeon Korail's form might have worsened.

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gimhae's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daejeon Korail than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daejeon Korail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gimhae, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daejeon Korail - Gimhae Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 0.

Daejeon Korail is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Gimhae has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Daejeon Korail may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Daejeon Korail has had a series of away games.

Gimhae could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Korail won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Korail won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Korail
South Korean K3 League
13.07.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Daejeon Korail	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Daejeon Korail - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWW
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
13.07.25	Gimhae - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Gimhae - Jeonbuk 2	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Yangpyeong - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Gimhae - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Siheung - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
29.03.25	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	3:0
20.07.24	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	1:1
05.04.24	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	1:1
11.11.23	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	2:0
17.06.23	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	2:2
13.08.22	Gimhae - Daejeon Korail	1:0
16.04.22	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	1:0

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