Match Info

K3 League - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Gimhae		Pocheon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.75
				Watch
	1.61	3.9	5.37
				Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.58	3.75	5.01
	1.89	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.89)	3.7 ↑ (3.55)	4.72 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
55.8%

Draw
24.8%

Pocheon
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

24.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimhae's performance.

Pocheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pocheon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimhae that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pocheon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gimhae - Pocheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gimhae will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pocheon (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gimhae will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimhae (votes: 3 - 75%). Pocheon (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 1.

Gimhae has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pocheon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pocheon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gimhae is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gimhae will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimhae won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
15.06.25	Siheung - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Mokpo City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
01.06.25	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	5:1 ✺
18.05.25	Yeoju - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
15.06.25	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:6 ✺
06.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Pocheon - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
25.05.25	Yangpyeong - Pocheon	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Pocheon	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
24.08.24	Gimhae - Pocheon	1:1
27.04.24	Pocheon - Gimhae	0:0
02.09.23	Gimhae - Pocheon	2:0
07.05.23	Pocheon - Gimhae	0:0
28.08.22	Pocheon - Gimhae	0:0
30.04.22	Gimhae - Pocheon	2:1
South Korean Cup
27.03.19	Pocheon - Gimhae	3:2 penalties

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