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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 34.3%
Draw 29.6%
Oldham Athletic 36.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36%
28%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.6%
27.7%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Postponed due to international match.
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 22nd and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.
Northampton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Oldham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Oldham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Donacien J.
(Inactive)
List E.
(Inactive)
Perkins J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury).
Confirmed absences for Oldham: Stevens J.
(Inactive).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Northampton has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Northampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Northampton
11
3
4
4
8:8
0
13
20
Oldham
12
3
3
6
14:18
-4
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 4.77% Northampton: 2.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Northampton Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
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