Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)


	Northampton Town		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.25	2.70
	2.73	3.16	2.65
	2.59	3.32	2.59	Watch
	2.65	3.05	2.55
	2.66	3.08	2.59
	2.60	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.31)	2.61 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
35.2%

Draw
29.3%

Oldham Athletic
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 22nd and 20th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 3.

Northampton has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oldham has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oldham may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Northampton: Burroughs J. (Inactive) Donacien J. (Inactive) List E. (Inactive) Perkins J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Oldham: Stevens J. (Inactive).

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Northampton has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1.8:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Northampton against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Oldham: 5.58% Northampton: 2.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Oldham	8	2	1	5	9:13	-4	7
22	Northampton	7	1	3	3	3:6	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League Two
19.09.26	Northampton Town - Rotherham United	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Northampton Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gillingham - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTT
- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
26.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Salford City	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:0 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Oldham Athletic - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
01.11.25	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	3:1
English League Two
15.04.22	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	0:2
23.11.21	Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:1
02.11.19	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	2:2
04.05.19	Oldham Athletic - Northampton Town	2:5
27.10.18	Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:1
English League One
05.05.18	Northampton Town - Oldham Athletic	2:2

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