Match Info

A Lyga - Round 26

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Alytus Stadium (Dainava)

Referee: Jackus M. (Ltu)


	Dainava Alytus		Banga Gargždai

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.62	3.05	2.52	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.6
	7.10	4.50	1.40	Watch
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.63	3.1	2.46	Watch
	2.92	3.18	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.17)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dainava Alytus
29.8%

Draw
29.4%

Banga Gargždai
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

28.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dainava Alytus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Banga Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dainava Alytus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banga Gargždai than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Mickevicius A. (G) 29. Zabita G. (C) 2. Daniel Alemao 24. Paliusis N. 26. Reginaldo 23. Koshkosh I. 8. Achol M. 17. Zevzikovas D. 75. Stockunas E. 37. Okoniewski K. 11. Lubas J.	55. Bertasius M. (G) 19. Antuzis V. 3. Malzinskas D. 5. Victory A. 10. Magdusauskas V. 17. Andrejev M. 30. Laton 6. Ramanauskas M. (C) 14. Seedorf S. 18. Srebalius P. 77. Venckus I.
Substitutes
5. Chikovani N. 13. Faye C. 1. Krynskyi V. (G) 28. Lauva K. (G) 3. Maksymenko M. 22. Nakashidze N. 33. Zahladko V.	57. Ambrazaitis M. 25. Anderson Cordeiro 9. Emsis A. 12. Grinkevicius L. (G) 7. Norvilas D. 24. Razvadauskas A. 20. Toleikis K. 1. Vitkauskas A. (G) 13. Zebrauskas N.
Coaches
Orazov M.	Marques Afonso D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Srebalius P. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Venckus I. ⚽, Victory A. (A),
28', Achol M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Magdusauskas V. ⚽, Andrejev M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 3, Seedorf S. ⚽, Antuzis V. (A),
52', Koshkosh I. 🟨,
56', 0 - 4, Seedorf S. ⚽,
61', Koshkosh I. ↓, Nakashidze N. ↑,
62', Reginaldo ↓, Faye C. ↑,
67', 0 - 5, Venckus I. ⚽, Andrejev M. (A),
68', Seedorf S. ↓, Toleikis K. ↑,
68', Andrejev M. ↓, Emsis A. ↑,
68', Lubas J. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,
79', Magdusauskas V. ↓, Anderson Cordeiro ↑,
80', Victory A. ↓, Zebrauskas N. ↑,
80', Venckus I. ↓, Ambrazaitis M. ↑,
81', Stockunas E. 🟨,
81', Malzinskas D. 🟨,
81', Faye C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Banga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dainava has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dainava won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:18. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dainava won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Banga Gargždai - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 39.98%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dainava Alytus
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.08.25	Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Dainava Alytus	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Dainava Alytus - Sūduva Marijampolė	2:2 ✺
28.07.25	FA Šiauliai - Dainava Alytus	3:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Dainava Alytus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TWTLL
- Banga Gargždai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.08.25	Panevėžys - Banga Gargždai	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Banga Gargždai	2:1 ✺
13.08.25	Banga Gargždai - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	Banga Gargždai - Riteriai	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Banga Gargždai - FA Šiauliai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
24.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	2:1
20.04.25	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	2:1
05.10.24	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	0:3
21.07.24	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	3:1
26.05.24	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	0:3
06.04.24	Dainava Alytus - Banga Gargždai	2:2
16.09.23	Banga Gargždai - Dainava Alytus	1:0

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