Match Info

Jia League - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Dalian Kun City		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.4	5
	1.36	4.1	8.4	Watch
	1.43	3.95	8.99
	1.43	3.95	9.09	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.8
	1.4	4.22	8.44	Watch
	1.36	4.1	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)	3.89 ↑ (3.33)	7.73 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
64.1%

Draw
23.9%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.7%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Kun City's performance.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Kun City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Guangxi (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fan Jinming (G) 8. Wu Y. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 5. Lin Longchang 2. Wei Lai 41. Deng Chunze 24. Musa S. I. 20. Chen Rong 23. Yin Lu 17. Chen Jiaqi 30. Mushekwi N.	22. He Lipan (G) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 5. Yao Diran 28. Chen Shaohao 6. Ge Hailun 33. Ding Quancheng 17. Yang Jingfan 10. Asamoah S. 14. Yao Younan 7. Zhang Ran 9. Mateus
Substitutes
28. Cui Hao 26. Cui Ming'an 15. Ji Zhengyu 44. Kotnik A. 39. Lei Wenjie 9. Ning F. 11. Qian Junhao 6. Song Zhiwei 14. Wang H. 16. Wang Zhuo (G) 12. Zhao Shuhao 25. Zhuang Q.	25. Chen Shihao 23. Han Zhen (G) 45. Huang Wei 8. Hu Jiajin 24. Jin Jian 11. Liu Hao 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 18. Yang Hang 3. Zhang Hui 31. Zhang Song 16. Zhang Zili

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Yang Jingfan ⚽, Mateus (A),
23', 1 - 1, Mushekwi N. (Pen),
36', Zhang Ran ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
40', Chen Shihao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jiang Zhengjie ↓, Zhang Zili ↑,
58', Zhai Zhaoyu 🟨,
59', Ding Quancheng 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Wu Y. (A),
69', Chen Jiaqi ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
69', Wu Y. ↓, Song Zhiwei ↑,
76', Zhang Zili ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
78', Chen Rong ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
78', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
81', Ding Quancheng ↓, Jin Jian ↑,
81', Yao Younan ↓, Liu Hao ↑,
89', Zhai Zhaoyu ↓, Ji Zhengyu ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Guangxi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dalian Kun City is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
26.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Kun City	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Wenzhou Professional - Dalian Kun City	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTT
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
27.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:2 ✺
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWLT

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