Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Dalian Pro		Shanghai Port

	1	X	2
	2.1	4	3	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.87
	2.15	3.75	3	Watch
	2.09	3.7	2.81
	2.07	3.7	2.81
	2.05	3.6	2.88
	2.14	3.76	3.04
	2.08	3.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.68)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	2.93 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
43.9%

Draw
24.6%

Shanghai Port
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

24.4%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

23.5%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Pro's performance.

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Pro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Dalian Pro - Shanghai Port Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Dalian Pro will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Shanghai Port will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Pro: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 19. Wang Zhenao 13. Wang Yaopeng 6. Wang Xianjun 28. Fei Yu 22. Chen Rong 31. Lu Peng 40. Bosancic N. 10. Tsonev B. 39. Yan Xiangchuang (C) 17. Manzoki C.	12. Chen Wei (G) 4. Wang Shenchao 13. Wei Zhen 2. Li Ang 20. Yang Shiyuan 16. Xu Xin 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 45. Liu Xiaolong 15. Li Shenyuan 8. Oscar (C) 14. Li Shenglong
Substitutes
26. Cui Ming'an 14. Huang Jiahui 7. Lin Liangming 2. Lin Longchang 16. Liu Le 4. Nunez V. 23. Shang Yin 9. Shan Huanhuan 35. Wang Yu 5. Wu Wei 1. Zhang Chong (G) 15. Zhao Jianbo	36. Haliq Ablahan 34. Kallon I. 41. Liang Kun (G) 10. Pink M. 43. Wang Yiwei 7. Wu Lei 1. Yan Junling (G) 21. Yu Hai 29. Zhang Huachen
Coaches
Xie Hui	Pereira J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League).

Shanghai Port is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for AFC Champions League

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 0.

Dalian Pro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Shanghai Port is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dalian Pro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
29.10.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Dalian Pro	2:2 ✺
20.10.23	Dalian Pro - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3 ✺
30.09.23	Beijing Guoan - Dalian Pro	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
26.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
23.09.23	Dalian Pro - Shandong Taishan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLT
- Shanghai Port FC
Chinese Super League
29.10.23	Shanghai Port - Shandong Taishan	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Shanghai Port	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Port	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Shanghai Port - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
08.07.23	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	1:1
04.11.22	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	2:1
06.08.22	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Port	1:1
Chinese FA Cup
29.10.21	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	0:0
24.10.21	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Port	0:3
Chinese Super League
06.08.21	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Port	0:5
16.05.21	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	3:0

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