Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 16

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Young Boy		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.75	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.51	4.05
	1.75	3.54	4.29	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.77	3.4	4.22	Watch
	1.79	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.98)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	4.14 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Young Boy
51.5%

Draw
26.5%

Qingdao Red Lions
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

24.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Young Boy's performance.

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Young Boy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Red Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Dalian Young Boy - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Sui Weijie (G) 38. Lu Zhuoyi 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 21. Lu Peng 44. Kotnik A. 28. Fei Yu 22. Mao W. 16. Zhu P. 29. Sun B.	1. Zhu Quan (G) 23. Zhang Liang 28. Sun Xu 35. Zhang S. 5. Huang X. 16. Chen Long 44. Wu Junhao 10. Asamoah S. 20. Nie Aoshuang 37. Chen H. 9. Sanogo Y.
Substitutes
23. 23 40. Fernando Karanga 15. Fu Yuncheng 1. Ge Peng (G) 8. Geping Q. 14. Li Z. 9. Yan P. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 2. Zhang Zhen 34. Zhao Mingjian 4. Zhao Xuebin 26. Zhongkai C.	13. Beshathan Zanhar 22. Chen Jiaqi 21. Hai Xiaorui 15. Jia Xiaochen 17. Lian C. 27. Li Kai 11. Mwanga J. E. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 33. Sun Weijia 25. Tang Y. 6. Zheng Haokun
Coaches
Li G.	Sun X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽, Sun B. (A),
39', Sanogo Y. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mao W. ↓, Zhao Mingjian ↑,
60', Huang X. 🟨,
62', Lu Zhuoyi ↓, Yan Xiangchuang ↑,
65', Wu Junhao ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
65', Zhang S. ↓, Jia Xiaochen ↑,
66', Chen H. ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
74', Chen Long ↓, Mwanga J. E. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽, Yan Xiangchuang (A),
80', Zhu P. ↓, 23 ↑,
80', Fei Yu ↓, Yan P. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Kotnik A. ⚽, Yan Xiangchuang (A),
88', Sanogo Y. ↓, Li Kai ↑,
88', Kotnik A. ↓, Fernando Karanga ↑,
90+2', Beshathan Zanhar 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 0, Fernando Karanga ⚽, Zhao Mingjian (A),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

Recent matches Dalian Young Boy is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qingdao Red Lions is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dalian Young Boy will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
30.06.24	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
15.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yunnan Yukun	0:3 ✺
08.06.24	Dalian Young Boy - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWLT
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
30.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Peng City	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWT

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