Match Info

Jia League - Round 13

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Nanjing City		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.1	3.75
				Watch
	1.98	3.12	4.21
				Watch
	1.91	3.05	4.04	Watch
	1.9	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)	3.07 ↓ (3.5)	3.94 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
47.3%

Draw
29.6%

Qingdao Red Lions
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nanjing City's form might have worsened.

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Red Lions (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Qingdao Red Lions (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Qingdao Red Lions (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 9. Ling Jie 7. Guo Yi 22. Meng Zhen 10. Ogbu M. 24. Du Junpeng 18. Dong Honglin 27. Zheng Xuejian 42. Lupeta J. 39. Yu Menghui 31. Zhu Qiwen	18. Li Ya'nan (G) 15. Hao Yucheng 16. Zhang Yixuan 4. Zhao Chengle 23. Zhang Liang 44. Wu Junhao 30. Zhou Jianyi 10. Leandro Alves 7. Nobrega J. 37. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Rivaldinho
Substitutes
30. An Bang 16. Ding Yunfeng 15. Dong Xin 6. Dujardin A. 11. Hu Rentian 45. Ji Xiang 3. Li Mingfan 26. Miao Jiawei 8. Yang Dejiang 38. Zhang Hui 20. Zhang Xianbing 1. Zheng Hao (G)	22. Iskandar B. 8. Jia Xiaochen 5. Liu Pujin 29. Liu Xiaoqi 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 43. Sheng Muze (G) 11. Sun Xipeng 13. Tao Yuan 35. Zhang Shuai 6. Zheng Haokun 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Liu Zhiyu	Castro F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Dong Honglin ⚽, Guo Yi (A),
37', Wu Junhao ↓, Lu K. ↑,
42', Yu Menghui 🟨,
45+4', Zhao Chengle 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Meng Zhen ↓, Ding Yunfeng ↑,
57', Guo Yi ↓, Ji Xiang ↑,
68', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Hu Rentian ↑,
69', Leandro Alves ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
69', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
78', Zheng Xuejian ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
86', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
90+2', Yang Dejiang 🟨,
90+5', Ling Jie 🟨,
90+6', Ling Jie ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
90+8', 2 - 0, Lupeta J. ⚽, Ogbu M. (A),
90+9', Lupeta J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Nanjing City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Nanjing City is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nanjing City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
15.06.25	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Nanjing City - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:4 ✺
25.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
16.05.25	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Nanjing City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLWW
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
15.06.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
26.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
26.10.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Nanjing City	2:1
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1

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