Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 12

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Wutaishan Stadium (Nanjing)


	Nanjing City		Dalian Young Boy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.45	3	2.8	Watch
	2.52	2.96	3.02
	2.52	2.97	3.02
	2.38	3	2.8
	2.42	2.98	2.88	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.79)	2.97 ↓ (2.97)	2.86 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
37.2%

Draw
30.8%

Dalian Young Boy
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Dalian Young Boy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Qi Yuxi (G) 16. Gong Hankui 27. Wang Hao 26. Liu Jiahui 9. Yang He (C) 22. Huang Peng 33. Sun Enming 28. Ling Jie 11. Matheus Moresche 19. Huang Zhenfei 20. Ogbu M.	1. Ge Peng (G) 4. Zhao Xuebin 6. Robson 5. Jin Pengxiang 18. He Xiaoqiang 28. Fei Yu 21. Lu Peng 22. Mao W. 39. Yan Xiangchuang 33. Zhang H. 29. Sun B.
Substitutes
14. Ding Yunfeng 2. Dujardin A. 1. Huang Zihao (G) 25. Hu Shuming 15. Jiang Shichao 17. Meng Zhen 18. Nan Xiaoheng 10. Onuegbu K. 12. Shi Lishan 24. Zhang Yu 5. Zhou Yu 31. Zhu Qiwen	15. Fu Yuncheng 14. Li Z. 38. Lu Zhuoyi 12. Wang Shengbo 20. Wang Shixin 31. Wu Xinze 25. Xiao Zhiren (G) 9. Yan P. 24. Yuan H. 2. Zhang Zhen 16. Zhu P.
Coaches
Cortez F.	Li G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Ogbu M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Ogbu M. (Pen),
27', Sun Enming 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Jiang Shichao ↑,
46', Zhao Xuebin ↓, Zhu P. ↑,
51', Huang Peng 🟨,
52', Wang Hao 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Jiang Shichao ⚽, Matheus Moresche (A),
60', Zhang H. ↓, Zhang Zhen ↑,
60', Mao W. ↓, Lu Zhuoyi ↑,
67', Sun B. ↓, Yan P. ↑,
80', Ling Jie 🟨,
82', Gong Hankui ↓, Ding Yunfeng ↑,
82', Sun Enming ↓, Zhang Yu ↑,
88', Fei Yu ↓, Wang Shengbo ↑,
89', Liu Jiahui ↓, Dujardin A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Dalian Young Boy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
11.05.24	Nanjing City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Nanjing City - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Wuxi Wugou - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTT
- Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Jia League
26.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.05.24	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
11.05.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Dalian Young Boy	0:3 ✺
04.05.24	Dalian Young Boy - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLT

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