Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Qingdao Red Lions		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.75	3.75	1.87
	3.96	3.66	1.86
	3.96	3.66	1.76
	3.9	3.7	1.73
	4.15	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (4.16)	3.68 ↓ (3.7)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
23.6%

Draw
24.9%

Shenzhen Peng City
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

24.4%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

20%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Shenzhen Peng City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Qingdao Red Lions - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, Thiago Andrade ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
01.06.24	Liaoning Tieren - Qingdao Red Lions	2:2 ✺
26.05.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Shenzhen Juniors - Qingdao Red Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTTW
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Super League
14.06.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Peng City	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
21.05.24	Meizhou Hakka - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0 ✺
16.05.24	Shandong Taishan - Shenzhen Peng City	3:2 ✺
12.05.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTLL

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