Match Info

CHINA: YI LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 22

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Dalian Zhixing		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.3	3.2
				Watch
	2.02	3.3	3.24
	2.03	3.3	3.24
	1.83	3.2	3.7
	2.12	3.13	3.22
	1.86	3.25	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.64)	3.25 ↑ (3)	3.4 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Zhixing
45.7%

Draw
27.8%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Zhixing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Zhixing's performance.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Zhixing than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Zhixing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Dalian Zhixing - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Dalian Zhixing will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Chongqing will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Zhixing: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Chongqing Tongliang Long is Qualified for Jia League

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Dalian Zhixing is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dalian Zhixing won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Zhixing
Chinese Yi League
15.10.23	Guangxi Lanhang - Dalian Zhixing	0:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dalian Zhixing - Yunnan Yukun	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Wenzhou Professional - Dalian Zhixing	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Zhixing	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Dalian Zhixing - Guangxi Lanhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Yi League
15.10.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
10.10.23	Beijing Institute of Technology - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
17.09.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Hubei Istar	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Zhixing	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
09.09.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Zhixing	2:1

Dalian Zhixing - Chongqing Tongliang Long