Match Info

ICELAND: Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Dalvíkurvöllur (Dalvík)


	Dalvík Reynir		Thor Akureyri

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.7
	3.7	3.7	1.74	Watch
	3.87	4.09	1.76
	3.87	4.09	1.74
	3.9	3.8	1.7
	3.95	3.92	1.7	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.08)	3.89 ↑ (3.6)	1.73 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalvík Reynir
23.8%

Draw
23.4%

Thor Akureyri
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

25.1%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.8%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalvík Reynir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalvík Reynir's form might have worsened.

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thor Akureyri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalvík Reynir than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	62.5%	37.5%

Dalvík Reynir - Thor Akureyri Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lalic F. (G) 21. Abdul A. 18. Bjornsson R. 26. Davidsson D. 17. Ingvarsson G. 6. Jonasson T. (C) 5. Jonsson F. 30. Matheus 19. Solvason A. 10. Stojanovic N. 4. Zambrano A.	1. Stefansson A. (C) 6. Arnason A. 17. Gislason F. 21. Gunnarsson S. 5. Heimisson B. 3. Hlynsson B. 2. Jonsson E. 15. Kristjansson K. 19. Ragnarsson R. 9. Thorlaksson A. 7. Victor R.
Substitutes
25. Jonsson E. 8. Lopez B. 24. Maronsson I. (G) 15. Oskarsson B. 11. Saevaldson V. 9. Sigurjonsson J. 16. Thordarson T.	22. Arnarsson E. 24. Geirsson Y. 8. Hjaltason J. 23. Kristjansson I. 20. Ottosson V. 12. Valtysson A. (G) 30. Vidarsson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Jonsson E. ⚽, Heimisson B. (A),
24', Heimisson B. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Gunnarsson S. ⚽, Victor R. (A),
34', Jonasson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Jonsson F. ↓, Jonsson E. ↑,
61', Stojanovic N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
61', Victor R. ↓, Kristjansson I. ↑,
61', Gislason F. ↓, Arnarsson E. ↑,
64', Matheus 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Thorlaksson A. ⚽,
78', Arnason A. ↓, Hjaltason J. ↑,
78', Thorlaksson A. ↓, Geirsson Y. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Lopez B. ⚽,
80', Bjornsson R. 🟨,
89', Abdul A. ↓, Sigurjonsson J. ↑,
89', Davidsson D. ↓, Thordarson T. ↑,
90', Hlynsson B. ↓, Vidarsson B. ↑,
90+6', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Dalvík Reynir is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Thor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dalvík Reynir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Thor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dalvík Reynir won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalvík Reynir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalvík Reynir
Icelandic Division 1
22.06.24	Grindavik - Dalvík Reynir	3:1 ✺
15.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Keflavík	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Afturelding - Dalvík Reynir	4:3 ✺
01.06.24	Dalvík Reynir - Grótta	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	IR Reykjavik - Dalvík Reynir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLTT
- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
22.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
12.06.24	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
31.05.24	Njarðvík - Thor Akureyri	5:1 ✺
25.05.24	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
24.05.22	Dalvík Reynir - Thor Akureyri	2:0
20.04.19	Thor Akureyri - Dalvík Reynir	2:3
23.04.18	Thor Akureyri - Dalvík Reynir	3:1

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