Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 29

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Damac		Al Akhdoud

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.58	3.9	5.15
	1.63	4.12	5.41
	1.54	4.28	5.49	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.68	3.89	5.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.78)	3.9 ↑ (3.68)	5.3 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
58.5%

Draw
23.9%

Al Akhdoud
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Damac's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Damac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Damac - Al Akhdoud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Damac will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 2. Sylla M. 8. Vada V. 6. Abdullah T. 14. Okita J. 11. Meite Y. 99. Arielson	94. Samuel Portugal (G) 8. Al Zabdani H. 4. Al Rubaie S. (C) 22. Gunter K. 42. Fagihy M. 55. Borrell M. 18. Pedroza J. 17. Gul G. 7. Narey K. 13. Bassogog C. 99. Al Lazam K.
Substitutes
20. Al Anazi D. 90. Al Ghamdi H. 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 18. Al Saadi N. 88. Al Samiri K. 80. Naji Y. 5. Rabea H. 26. Sharahili R.	21. Abu Abd M. 14. Al Abbas S. 20. Al Harthi S. M. 12. Al Hatila A. 10. Al Jahif M. 1. Al Najjar R. (G) 98. Al Qaydhi M. 15. Asiri N. 11. Ince B.
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Al Jabal F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Arielson ⚽, Vada V. (A),
43', Borrell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Lazam K. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
46', Pedroza J. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
59', Al Zabdani H. ↓, Abu Abd M. ↑,
74', Arielson ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
74', Al Saadi N. 🟨,
74', Abdullah T. 🟨,
81', Borrell M. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
82', Okita J. ↓, Al Anazi D. ↑,
87', Meite Y. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Vada V. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Damac is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
09.04.26	Damac - Al-Qadisiya	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	3:0 ✺
12.03.26	Al-Najma - Damac	1:3 ✺
05.03.26	Damac - Al-Riyadh	3:0 ✺
26.02.26	Al Fateh - Damac	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLWWT
- Al Akhdoud Club
Saudi Professional League
11.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Al Akhdoud - Al-Feiha	0:5 ✺
28.02.26	Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
30.12.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:1
13.02.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:0
13.09.24	Damac - Al Akhdoud	3:1
20.04.24	Al Akhdoud - Damac	1:2
26.10.23	Damac - Al Akhdoud	2:0

Damac - Al Akhdoud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide