Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Damac		Al-Shabab Riyadh

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.9	3.4	1.88
	4.21	3.7	1.83
	3.72	3.68	1.91
	3.9	3.3	1.75
	4.35	3.77	1.86
	3.8	3.6	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (3.97)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	1.86 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
23.7%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.2%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damac than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Damac - Al Shabab Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Damac will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Al-Shabab will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shabab: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Shabab (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 20. Al Anazi D. 8. Vada V. 2. Sylla M. 11. Meite Y. 6. Abdullah T. 7. Abdullah A. Q. 99. Arielson	43. Marcelo Grohe (G) 17. Al Thani M. 4. Hoedt W. 3. Al Bulayhi A. 31. Balobaid S. 22. Al Hammami H. 29. Adli Y. 14. Sierro V. 10. Carrasco Y. (C) 8. Brownhill J. 9. Hamdallah A.
Substitutes
33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 13. Al Obaid A. 18. Al Saadi N. 88. Al Samiri K. 80. Naji Y. 14. Okita J. 5. Rabea H.	40. Al Asmari A. 23. Al Awardi A. (G) 27. Al Saqour F. 20. Al Sayyali B. 2. Al Shwirekh M. 16. Al Sibyani H. K. A. 99. Azaizeh A. 70. Camara H. 5. Makki A.
Coaches
Fabio Carille	Zekri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Brownhill J. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Hamdallah A. ⚽, Brownhill J. (A),
26', Sylla M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Vada V. ⚽, Arielson (A),
45+1', Hamdallah A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Sierro V. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Balobaid S. ⚽,
63', Arielson ↓, Okita J. ↑,
63', Abdullah A. Q. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
70', Al Hammami H. ↓, Azaizeh A. ↑,
70', Brownhill J. ↓, Al Asmari A. ↑,
71', Al Hawsawi S. ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
81', Sylla M. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Carrasco Y. ⚽,
85', Adli Y. ↓, Al Sayyali B. ↑,
90+6', Hamdallah A. ↓, Camara H. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1.

Damac is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Shabab has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al-Shabab may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Shabab is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:27. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
12.02.26	Damac - Al-Taawoun	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Damac	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Damac - Al-Kholood	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Neom - Damac	3:0 ✺
26.01.26	Al Hazem - Damac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLL
- Al-Shabab Riyadh
Gulf Club Champions League
18.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Tadamone Hadramout	13:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
13.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:5 ✺
Gulf Club Champions League
11.02.26	Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
07.02.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Feiha	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
25.10.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	1:1
28.02.25	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	2:0
04.10.24	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:0
16.02.24	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	0:1
25.08.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	1:1
31.05.23	Damac - Al-Shabab Riyadh	1:4
02.02.23	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Damac	2:1

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