Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 19

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: King Khalid Sports City (Tabuk) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	JACO Middle East
Brazil	14:30	Canal GOAT
China	01:30	QQ Sports
Saudi Arabia	20:30	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah


	Neom		Damac

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.71	3.7	4.75
	1.41	4.45	6.9
	1.42	4.66	7.24
	1.45	4.48	6.65	Watch
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.44	4.89	7.57
	1.4	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	4.39 ↑ (4.27)	6.64 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neom
64.5%

Draw
21.4%

Damac
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.9%

21.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Damac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neom that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damac than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Neom - Damac Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Neom will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Damac will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neom: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Neom (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Neom (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Maximiano L. (G) 2. Al Burayk M. 26. Hegazy A. 44. Zeze N. 25. Abdi F. 24. Noor A. 7. Al Faraj S. (C) 72. Kone A. 19. Rodriguez L. 91. Lacazette A. 10. Benrahma S.	1. Kewin (G) 13. Al Obaid A. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 15. Harkass J. 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 26. Sharahili R. 5. Rabea H. 8. Vada V. 2. Sylla M. 80. Naji Y. 7. Al Qahtani A.
Substitutes
71. Abdu A. 11. Al Ali H. 20. Al Khaibri T. 93. Al Saluli A. 22. Bouabre S. 95. Fallatah A. 27. Hawsawi I. 18. Hejji A. 1. Malayekah M. (G)	33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 30. Al Ghamdi N. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 12. Al Hawsawi S. 88. Al Samiri K. 99. Arielson 77. David Kaiki 21. Omar A.
Coaches
Galtier C.	Evangelista A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Al Obaid A. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Zeze N. ⚽, Benrahma S. (A),
30', Harkass J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Khaibre A. R. ↓, Al Hawsawi S. ↑,
47', Sylla M. 🟨,
62', Naji Y. ↓, Arielson ↑,
62', Noor A. ↓, Bouabre S. ↑,
71', Rabea H. ↓, David Kaiki ↑,
76', Benrahma S. ↓, Hejji A. ↑,
78', Abdi F. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Kone A. ⚽, Bouabre S. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

Neom has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Damac has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Neom is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neom won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Neom SC	12	7	1	4	18:10	8	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neom SC
Saudi Professional League
24.01.26	Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Neom - Al-Hilal	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	Neom - Al Fateh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
26.01.26	Al Hazem - Damac	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Al-Feiha - Damac	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Damac	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
14.09.25	Damac - Neom	1:2

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