Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 8

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Frank Holohan Soccer Complex (Dandenong)


	Dandenong City		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.25	2.38	Watch
	2.78	3.71	2.32
	2.42	3.84	2.53	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.82	3.45	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.41)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	2.37 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong City
34.7%

Draw
26.3%

Bentleigh Greens
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong City's performance.

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bentleigh Greens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bentleigh Greens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Bentleigh Greens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong City SC
Australian NPL Victoria
31.03.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	4:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Avondale - Dandenong City	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dandenong City - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Heidelberg United - Dandenong City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTLTW
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian NPL Victoria
27.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Bentleigh Greens - Green Gully	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Altona Magic - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	South Melbourne - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Hume City - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
21.08.22	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	0:5
13.05.22	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong City	2:1
07.05.21	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	1:2
02.08.19	Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens	3:2
03.05.19	Bentleigh Greens - Dandenong City	1:0

Dandenong City - Bentleigh Greens: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide