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Current Win Probability
South Melbourne 56%
Draw 23.1%
Dandenong City 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
25.1%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
24.6%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
South Melbourne - Dandenong City Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH +2 - Dandenong City (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1 - Dandenong City (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dandenong City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
56', 1 - 0, Bonada N. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Dandenong City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of away games.
In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).