Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 37

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.75
	1.92	3.3	3.76
	1.86	3.46	4.31
	1.84	3.5	4.01
	1.9	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.15)	3.4 ↑ (3.39)	3.86 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
49.1%

Draw
27.1%

Banbury United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darlington - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Darlington is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Banbury is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Banbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Darlington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
27.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	1:3 ✺
24.02.24	Darlington - Buxton	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Boston United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	South Shields - Darlington	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Darlington - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWLWL
- Banbury United
English National League North
27.02.24	Banbury United - Peterborough Sports	0:3 ✺
20.02.24	Alfreton Town - Banbury United	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Buxton - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Chester - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Banbury United - Darlington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.01.24	Banbury United - Darlington	2:1
28.03.23	Banbury United - Darlington	0:0
20.08.22	Darlington - Banbury United	1:2

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