Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 35

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Alfreton Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.46	3.95	5.8
	1.51	4.14	6.56
	1.48	4.1	6.28
	1.49	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.01 ↑ (3.92)	6.03 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
61.9%

Draw
22.9%

Banbury United
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.6%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

23.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfreton Town's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfreton Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Alfreton Town - Banbury United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Banbury will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
13.02.24	Alfreton Town - South Shields	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Darlington - Alfreton Town	0:2 ✺
06.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Alfreton Town	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Alfreton Town - Tamworth	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Chorley - Alfreton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTL
- Banbury United
English National League North
17.02.24	Buxton - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Chester - Banbury United	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Banbury United - Darlington	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Banbury United - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Banbury United - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.09.23	Banbury United - Alfreton Town	0:0
18.04.23	Banbury United - Alfreton Town	1:1
07.03.23	Alfreton Town - Banbury United	2:0

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