Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 36

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.05	2.31
	3.1	3.25	2.29
	3.03	3.23	2.35
	3.01	3.22	2.28
	2.85	3.05	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.43)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
31.2%

Draw
28.9%

Brackley Town
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darlington - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Hetherington S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Maskell J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Lowe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 2 - 2, Lowe M. ⚽,
53', 2 - 3, Donawa J. ⚽,
59', 2 - 4, Dean G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 0.

Recent matches Darlington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brackley is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Darlington won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 16:32 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
25.02.25	Scunthorpe United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Darlington - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Southport - Darlington	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Darlington - Marine	3:1 ✺
28.01.25	Darlington - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
25.02.25	Brackley Town - Rushall Olympic	6:1 ✺
22.02.25	Brackley Town - Southport	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Marine - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Chorley - Brackley Town	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Brackley Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.11.24	Brackley Town - Darlington	2:1
03.02.24	Brackley Town - Darlington	1:0
19.08.23	Darlington - Brackley Town	1:1
15.04.23	Brackley Town - Darlington	3:0
15.10.22	Darlington - Brackley Town	2:2
23.04.22	Darlington - Brackley Town	0:2
14.09.21	Brackley Town - Darlington	1:3

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