The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southport 37.9%
Draw 26.8%
Darlington 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
25.4%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
25.3%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Southport - Darlington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Platt T. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Sze C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 2, Main C. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Slew J. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1.
In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Darlington is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Southport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Southport has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Southport won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Southport won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Southport: 0.73%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
20
Southport
10
2
3
5
13:20
-7
9
22
Darlington
10
2
1
7
12:21
-9
7
Last Results with these Odds
Southport - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.86%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Darlington - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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