Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 34

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.74	3.59	5.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	4.61 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
53.6%

Draw
26.4%

Southport
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

27%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

26.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-2%)

Brackley Town - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Hall C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Southport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Southport have a series of guest games.

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Brackley won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 0.9:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 1.3:0.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
15.02.25	Marine - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Chorley - Brackley Town	4:1 ✺
08.02.25	Brackley Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	Brackley Town - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Hereford - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL
- Southport
English National League North
18.02.25	Farsley - Southport	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Southport - Darlington	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Radcliffe - Southport	4:1 ✺
04.02.25	Alfreton Town - Southport	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Buxton - Southport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.10.24	Southport - Brackley Town	0:0
10.02.24	Southport - Brackley Town	3:1
26.08.23	Brackley Town - Southport	0:0
04.03.23	Brackley Town - Southport	1:0
08.11.22	Southport - Brackley Town	2:2
05.03.22	Southport - Brackley Town	0:0
11.09.21	Brackley Town - Southport	1:0

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