Match Info

National League North - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.4
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	2.78	3.2	2.4
	2.78	3.29	2.49
	2.61	3.36	2.53	Watch
	2.75	3.24	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.33)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
34%

Draw
28.2%

Chorley
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

27.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Darlington - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Carr T. ⚽,
39', Lalkovic M. 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 1, Hatfield W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 2 - 2, Sampson J. ⚽,
60', 2 - 3, Blakeman A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 0.

Darlington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Darlington will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Dunston UTS - Darlington	1:4 ✺
26.07.25	Darlington - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	1:2 ✺
English National League North
26.04.25	Darlington - Needham Market	3:1 ✺
21.04.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Chorley
Club Friendly
23.07.25	Chorley - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Chorley - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
09.07.25	Chorley - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Chorley - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
English National League North
03.05.25	Scunthorpe United - Chorley	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
25.03.25	Darlington - Chorley	1:1
22.10.24	Chorley - Darlington	3:0
29.03.24	Darlington - Chorley	0:3
14.11.23	Chorley - Darlington	8:0
07.01.23	Darlington - Chorley	0:3
13.08.22	Chorley - Darlington	1:1
26.02.22	Darlington - Chorley	3:0

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