Match Info

National League North - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.45
	2.28	3.6	2.68
	2.3	3.8	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.63
	2.36	3.88	2.57
	2.28	3.6	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)	3.66 ↓ (3.73)	2.61 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
39.9%

Draw
25%

Darlington
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

24.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

25.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Scarborough Athletic - Darlington Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Scarborough will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Darlington will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Darlington (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darlington (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lees T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Darlington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
20.12.25	Peterborough Sports - Scarborough Athletic	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
06.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Macclesfield Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Scarborough Athletic - Alfreton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTTT
- Darlington FC
English National League North
20.12.25	Darlington - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Oxford City - Darlington	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Bedford Town - Darlington	3:4 ✺
25.11.25	Darlington - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Darlington - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.04.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	1:0
26.12.24	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	4:3
30.12.23	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
26.12.23	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	2:0
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	1:2
English National League North
02.01.23	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	2:5
26.12.22	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	2:3

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