Match Info

National League North - Round 46

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	3.6
	1.71	3.7	3.75
	1.73	4.1	3.85
	1.69	4.07	4.09
	1.74	4.09	4.08	Watch
	1.73	4.49	3.73
	1.73	4.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.56)	4.13 ↓ (4.7)	3.85 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
53.7%

Draw
22.3%

Needham Market
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

19.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

18.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Darlington - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hatfield W. ⚽,
30', Hammond K. 🟥,
31', 2 - 0, Main C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 2 - 1, Allen I. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Hedley B. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Needham is Relegated to

Recent matches Darlington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Needham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Needham have a series of home games.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
21.04.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Darlington - South Shields	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Chester - Darlington	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Darlington - Farsley	4:2 ✺
29.03.25	Warrington Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLWW
- Needham Market
English National League North
21.04.25	Needham Market - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Peterborough Sports - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Needham Market - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Needham Market - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Needham Market - Buxton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.12.24	Needham Market - Darlington	0:1

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