Match Info

National League North - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA


	Scunthorpe United		Chorley

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.8	3.4	4.4
	1.84	3.33	4.51
	1.83	3.31	4.63	Watch
	1.83	3.34	4.52	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	4.48 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
51.6%

Draw
27.7%

Chorley
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

26.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

29.3%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Scunthorpe United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Scunthorpe United - Chorley Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Chorley (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chorley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Whitehall D. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Hall K. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Whitehall D. ⚽,
26', 3 - 1, Roberts C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 4 - 1, Ubaezuonu C. ⚽,
78', 4 - 2, Hall K. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Scunthorpe have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chorley is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Scunthorpe is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Scunthorpe United - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
26.04.25	Hereford - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Peterborough Sports	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	King`s Lynn Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Scunthorpe United - Spennymoor Town	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Radcliffe - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Chorley
English National League North
29.04.25	Chorley - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Rushall Olympic - Chorley	1:5 ✺
21.04.25	Chorley - Radcliffe	5:0 ✺
18.04.25	Buxton - Chorley	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Chorley - Marine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.01.25	Chorley - Scunthorpe United	2:2
24.08.24	Scunthorpe United - Chorley	1:1
16.12.23	Scunthorpe United - Chorley	3:0
23.09.23	Chorley - Scunthorpe United	1:1

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