Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 9

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.75
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2.04	3.64	3.42
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.97	3.54	3.5
	1.94	3.65	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.19)	3.46 ↑ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
46.7%

Draw
26.6%

Farsley
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28.8%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Gloucester City - Farsley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Scarborough Athletic - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Gloucester City - Rushall Olympic	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	South Shields - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	King`s Lynn Town - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWLT
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
05.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Farsley	4:0 ✺
02.09.23	Farsley - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
28.08.23	Chester - Farsley	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Farsley - Tamworth	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Bishops Stortford - Farsley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.04.23	Farsley - Gloucester City	2:1
22.10.22	Gloucester City - Farsley	5:1
12.02.22	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:2
13.11.21	Gloucester City - Farsley	2:0
28.11.20	Gloucester City - Farsley	1:2
09.03.20	Gloucester City - Farsley	2:1
09.11.19	Farsley - Gloucester City	1:1

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