Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	5.36	3.72	1.7
	5.36	3.72	1.66
	5.8	3.75	1.5
	5.71	4.19	1.51
	4.8	3.5	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (3.3)	3.7 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
17.8%

Draw
25.1%

Tamworth
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

26.5%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

26%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darlington's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darlington, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Darlington - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: Tamworth will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darlington won 2.

Darlington is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tamworth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Darlington won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
09.01.24	Southport - Darlington	2:0 ✺
06.01.24	King`s Lynn Town - Darlington	0:1 ✺
30.12.23	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	0:1 ✺
26.12.23	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Darlington - Bishops Stortford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL
- Tamworth
English National League North
09.01.24	Warrington Town - Tamworth	0:3 ✺
06.01.24	Tamworth - Buxton	2:0 ✺
30.12.23	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Tamworth - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Peterborough Sports - Tamworth	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.10.23	Tamworth - Darlington	4:0
English FA Cup
19.10.19	Tamworth - Darlington	0:3
English National League North
13.03.18	Tamworth - Darlington	0:0
18.11.17	Darlington - Tamworth	0:1
08.04.17	Darlington - Tamworth	3:2
05.11.16	Tamworth - Darlington	2:1

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