Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 24

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Bishops Stortford

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.86	4.72
	1.68	3.86	4.72
	1.6	3.9	4.4
	1.65	3.88	4.6
	1.7	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.99)	3.79 ↑ (3.43)	4.48 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
55.2%

Draw
24.3%

Bishops Stortford
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bishops Stortford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bishops Stortford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darlington - Bishops Stortford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Darlington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Darlington is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darlington won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
16.12.23	Gloucester City - Darlington	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Darlington - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
21.11.23	Darlington - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Scunthorpe United - Darlington	2:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Chorley - Darlington	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLL
- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
16.12.23	Bishops Stortford - Hereford	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Ebbsfleet United - Bishops Stortford	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Bishops Stortford	5:0 ✺
21.11.23	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Bishops Stortford - St Albans City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.09.23	Bishops Stortford - Darlington	1:0

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