Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Tamworth		Buxton

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.7	4.2
	1.66	4	4.5
	1.68	3.86	4.91
	1.68	3.86	4.91
	1.55	3.8	4.8
	1.7	4.14	4.14
	1.65	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.54)	3.88 ↑ (3.75)	4.54 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
55.9%

Draw
23.8%

Buxton
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tamworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Tamworth - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

Tamworth is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Buxton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tamworth to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tamworth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League North
30.12.23	Rushall Olympic - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Tamworth - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Peterborough Sports - Tamworth	1:4 ✺
16.12.23	Tamworth - Southport	4:0 ✺
09.12.23	Chester - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWL
- Buxton FC
English National League North
01.01.24	Buxton - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Alfreton Town - Buxton	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Buxton - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Spennymoor Town - Buxton	2:3 ✺
12.12.23	Chorley - Buxton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
31.10.23	Buxton - Tamworth	2:1
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Tamworth - Buxton	1:1

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