Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	3.5
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.93	3.55	3.94
	1.87	3.68	3.88	Watch
	1.85	3.54	3.86
	1.85	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.31)	3.6 ↑ (3.33)	3.77 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Warrington Town
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darlington's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darlington - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Nelson A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 2 - 1, Amis J. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Amis J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 18 and 15).

Darlington is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Warrington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Warrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Darlington will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Darlington won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Darlington won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
22.10.24	Chorley - Darlington	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Rushall Olympic - Darlington	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	King`s Lynn Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Darlington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Darlington - Southport	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLW
- Warrington Town
English National League North
22.10.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Warrington Town - Oxford City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Radcliffe - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Chorley - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Warrington Town - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.04.24	Warrington Town - Darlington	1:3
21.11.23	Darlington - Warrington Town	1:1

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