Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

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	Darmstadt		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.90	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.95
	2.17	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.65	3.12
	2.24	3.55	3.08	Watch
	2.30	3.55	2.95
	2.24	3.54	3.09	Watch
	2.25	3.55	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.16)	3.56 ↓ (3.67)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
42%

Draw
26.6%

Holstein Kiel
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Darmstadt (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 28. Lannert C. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 3. Kleinhansl F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 44. Furukawa Y. 41. Duijvestijn L. 7. Weisshaupt N. 19. Lakenmacher F.	1. Weiner T. (G) 32. Sekine H. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 40. Parduzi L. 28. Meffert J. (C) 11. Bernhardsson A. 8. Balzi G. 15. Davidsen K. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 11. El Kadiri I. 22. Kehl L. 9. Lee Ho-Jae 49. Luhrs Y. 48. Merx M. 18. Petretta R. 23. Sickinger C. 10. Verkooijen N.	17. Alidou F. 6. Ivezic M. 22. Reimers M. 44. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 30. Tasdelen T. 10. Therkelsen J. 27. Ugoh I. 43. Wiese T.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Balzi G. ⚽, Harres P. (A),
28', Nekic I. 🟨,
35', Furukawa Y. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Harres P. ⚽, Kapralik A. (A),
45+1', Weisshaupt N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Sekine H. 🟨,
60', Lakenmacher F. ↓, Lee Ho-Jae ↑,
60', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
62', Parduzi L. 🟨,
68', Furukawa Y. ↓, Merx M. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Lee Ho-Jae ⚽, Klefisch K. (A),
76', Kapralik A. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
76', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Alidou F. ↑,
84', Parduzi L. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
85', Lannert C. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
85', Kleinhansl F. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Vukotic A. ⚽, Duijvestijn L. (A),
90+2', Davidsen K. ↓, Ugoh I. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.

Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darmstadt could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Marseiler L. (Knee Injury) Nurnberger F. (Injury) Papela M. (Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Rosenboom L. (Injury) Roslyng F. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 0.46% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.49%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
17.07.26	Astoria Walldorf - Darmstadt	1:4 ✺
14.07.26	Darmstadt - Homburg	5:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Darmstadt - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWLT
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Mainz - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
15.07.26	Holstein Kiel - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0
04.10.25	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
30.04.23	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	0:3
21.10.22	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	1:1
02.04.22	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	3:1
23.10.21	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	1:1

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