Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Dartford		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.55	2.78
	2.15	3.76	2.82	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.5
	2.19	3.34	2.9
	2.22	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.31)	3.55 ↓ (3.7)	2.78 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dartford
41.7%

Draw
25.6%

Aveley
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

24.8%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

24.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Dartford - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Olopade D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', Critchley H. 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, Tennent J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Dartford have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aveley is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aveley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Dartford: 10.27% Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dartford	10	7	0	3	16:11	5	21
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Aveley - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.36%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dartford
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.01.26	Hashtag United - Dartford	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Chatham Town - Dartford	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Dartford - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Dartford - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Lewes - Dartford	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWLL
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Aveley	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Aveley - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hashtag United - Aveley	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.09.25	Aveley - Dartford	1:1
English National League South
27.02.24	Dartford - Aveley	1:2
26.08.23	Aveley - Dartford	0:1

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