Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Aveley		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	4.95
	1.54	4.56	4.61	Watch
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.5	4.2	5.07
	1.57	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.41)	4.25 ↓ (4.56)	4.78 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
59.5%

Draw
21.4%

Canvey Island
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

20.1%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	38.5%	7.7%

Aveley - Canvey Island Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Aveley will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Canvey Island will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aveley: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aveley (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Harris C. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Gipson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Skarna M. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Gipson J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 2.

Aveley is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Canvey Island has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Aveley is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Hashtag United - Aveley	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5 ✺
12.12.25	Aveley - Billericay Town	3:3 ✺
28.11.25	Brentwood Town - Aveley	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTTW
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Canvey Island - Billericay Town	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hashtag United - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
02.12.25	Canvey Island - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Canvey Island - Aveley	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Canvey Island - Aveley	2:2
English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.23	Canvey Island - Aveley	0:1 penalties
18.04.23	Canvey Island - Aveley	2:2
02.01.23	Aveley - Canvey Island	0:1
English FA Cup
14.09.13	Aveley - Canvey Island	2:5

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