Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.5
	1.62	3.7	4.35
	1.65	4.1	4.22	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.2
	1.63	3.72	4.58
	1.64	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.25)	4.36 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
55.3%

Draw
24%

Aveley
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aveley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Folkestone Invicta - Aveley Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Folkestone will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Aveley (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Folkestone Invicta will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Folkestone (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Aveley (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Peters O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Aveley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.

Folkestone might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Folkestone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Including home match between the teams, Folkestone won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Aveley: 2.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aveley	10	3	1	6	17:18	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Chatham Town	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Ramsgate - Folkestone Invicta	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
16.12.25	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Valley Paper Mills	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Dartford - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW
- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.01.26	Aveley - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
27.12.25	Hashtag United - Aveley	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	2:5 ✺
12.12.25	Aveley - Billericay Town	3:3 ✺
28.11.25	Brentwood Town - Aveley	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
15.09.25	Aveley - Folkestone Invicta	2:5
11.03.23	Aveley - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
15.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Aveley	2:5

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