Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 8

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday


	Tonbridge Angels		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	3.1
	2	3.3	3.15
	2.04	3.37	3.69
	2	3.2	3.5
	1.99	3.44	3.54
	1.98	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.38 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
45.9%

Draw
27.1%

Braintree Town
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.6%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tonbridge Angels's performance.

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Braintree Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tonbridge Angels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braintree Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tonbridge will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Braintree will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tonbridge: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tonbridge will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
02.09.23	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:5 ✺
28.08.23	Tonbridge Angels - Welling United	0:1 ✺
26.08.23	Yeovil Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Tonbridge Angels - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- Braintree Town
English National League South
02.09.23	Braintree Town - Worthing	4:0 ✺
28.08.23	Torquay United - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Braintree Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
28.01.23	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	0:0
27.08.22	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
12.03.22	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	0:0
06.11.21	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	1:0
24.11.20	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	0:2
11.01.20	Braintree Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
12.10.19	Tonbridge Angels - Braintree Town	5:1

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